Imagine you have a friend who tells you they can always pick the winning team in football because they ‘just know’—even though they don’t check the stats. Or think about someone who judges friends' future behavior after hearing a few stories about them, and feels super sure—but they might be wrong. What’s going on in our brains that makes us so confident in our own guesses based on little info? Take the quiz to find out what’s really going on here.