You’re playing basketball and make four shots in a row. You feel unstoppable and go for a long, risky three-pointer—because your mind whispers, “You’re hot, you’ve got this!” Later, you correctly answer several quiz questions back-to-back and bet big on the next one, sure that your success streak will continue. In both situations, your brain tricks you into believing that past success means more success is coming—even though each shot or question is a fresh chance on its own. Take the quiz to find out why we fall for this mind game and how to stop it.